Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000729 0.000832 0.000942 0.001067 0.001205 0.001351 0.001518
2025-04-06 0.000559 0.000701 0.000862 0.001057 0.001285 0.001541 0.001849
2025-04-13 0.000462 0.000617 0.000803 0.001036 0.001320 0.001651 0.002062
2025-04-20 0.000407 0.000576 0.000786 0.001059 0.001402 0.001813 0.002336
2025-04-27 0.000362 0.000539 0.000767 0.001073 0.001469 0.001953 0.002584
2025-05-04 0.000315 0.000494 0.000732 0.001061 0.001498 0.002045 0.002772
2025-05-11 0.000274 0.000451 0.000694 0.001042 0.001514 0.002118 0.002935
2025-05-18 0.000249 0.000429 0.000683 0.001056 0.001572 0.002244 0.003167
2025-05-25 0.000224 0.000404 0.000665 0.001058 0.001613 0.002347 0.003370
2025-06-01 0.000194 0.000366 0.000626 0.001027 0.001605 0.002384 0.003485
2025-06-08 0.000168 0.000333 0.000591 0.000997 0.001597 0.002418 0.003596
2025-06-15 0.000151 0.000314 0.000574 0.000995 0.001625 0.002502 0.003775
2025-06-22 0.000136 0.000296 0.000559 0.000994 0.001657 0.002593 0.003966
2025-06-29 0.000121 0.000275 0.000539 0.000983 0.001674 0.002663 0.004131
2025-07-06 0.000106 0.000254 0.000514 0.000964 0.001676 0.002710 0.004264
2025-07-13 0.000099 0.000248 0.000515 0.000985 0.001740 0.002848 0.004527
2025-07-20 0.000092 0.000239 0.000511 0.000999 0.001793 0.002969 0.004768
2025-07-27 0.000082 0.000224 0.000493 0.000988 0.001805 0.003031 0.004925
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000207 0.000473 0.000969 0.001805 0.003075 0.005055
2025-08-10 0.000067 0.000201 0.000470 0.000982 0.001855 0.003194 0.005298
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000192 0.000461 0.000984 0.001887 0.003285 0.005501
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000175 0.000436 0.000955 0.001865 0.003294 0.005580
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000159 0.000413 0.000927 0.001845 0.003304 0.005661